Natural··Severity 7
Hurricane Polo Slips to Category 4 While Skirting Mexico
Hurricane Polo weakened overnight as it continued to skirt Mexico’s Pacific coast, which is expected to avoid a direct hit.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
32%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%