Military··Severity 8
Rubio predicts how Russia's war against Ukraine will end
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio says there is currently no energy truce agreement between Ukraine and Russia and argues that the war will end through negotiations rather than a decisive military victory
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
