Geopolitical··Severity 9
Russia launches ballistic missile attack on Kyiv, numerous explosions heard
An air-raid warning was issued in the city of Kyiv and most oblasts of Ukraine on the night of 23-24 September because of the threat of Russian ballistic missiles. Explosions have been heard in Kyiv.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
77%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%