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Geopolitical··Severity 9

US President Trump threatens "annihilation" of Iran despite successful talks

The day began with Donald Trump threatening to annihilate Iran but ended with a three-hour meeting between US and Iranian mediators, which Trump described as “very good.

” Trump also held a high-level meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, with both sides saying they wanted the war in Ukraine to end before winter.

Today, as the UN General Assembly continues, Zelensky and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian are among those expected to address the assembly, as world leaders seek ways to end the two conflicts dominating international politics.

First, Morgan Ayre reports on the latest developments in the Middle East.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

69%

Сценарии event-driven intelligence:

Primary source: France24

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%