Geopolitical··Severity 8
US aviation sanctions disrupt Iran flights, push travellers overland
Travel disruptions intensify as Iranian airlines lose access to airspace, pushing civilians towards costly land routes.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%