Geopolitical··Severity 9
‘Annihilate’ vs ‘crushing’ attacks: Why Iran, US up rhetoric amid talks
Trump threatens to 'annihilate' Iran and then brags about diplomacy, provoking Tehran to warn of a response.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
69%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%