Economic··Severity 7
US mortgage rates breach 7% as affordability pressures mount
Surging yields on government bonds and rising oil prices from the war in Iran drive inflation fears as national elections near
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
45%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%