Economic··Severity 7
FACTBOX: Economic Development Ministry’s forecast, oil prices, inflation, GDP
The ministry expects real household income to grow by 0.8% in 2026 and 1.5% in 2027
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%