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Economic··Severity 7

Bond crisis worsens! US 30-year Treasury yields surge to highest level since 2004. What lies ahead?

The US bond selloff intensified as the 30-year Treasury yield hit its highest level since 2004, while the 10-year yield reached a post-financial-crisis high.

Strong US economic data, rising inflation concerns, elevated government debt and higher oil prices have fuelled expectations of further Federal Reserve rate hikes, pressuring global bond markets.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

40%

Сценарии event-driven intelligence:

Primary source: Economic Times

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%