Geopolitical··Severity 8
CIA reportedly warns of Russian plans to attack Spain, France or Italy with sea-launched drones
The CIA has reportedly warned that Russia is preparing possible drone attacks on Spain, France or Italy using Gerbera drones launched from ships at sea.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%