Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russian diplomat slams Trump’s instructions on US nuclear tests as threat to moratorium
Whenever Washington accuses other countries of activity allegedly incompatible with the CTBT, it means that the Americans are once again looking to withdraw from their international commitments, Maria Zakharova noted
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
54%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%