Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iranian official: Iran, US far apart in peace talks, diplomacy ongoing
Iran and the United States remain far apart on how to end their war but diplomacy must continue, a senior Iranian official told Reuters on Wednesday, as the two sides held their first known indirect talks since a ceasefire collapsed in July.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
53%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: CGTN World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%