Geopolitical··Severity 8
'Particularly heavy night' of Russian strikes on Kyiv
France 24's Gulliver Cragg reports from Kyiv where he says a "particularly heavy night" of Russian strikes on the Ukrainian capital involved the use of ballistic missiles.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%