Geopolitical··Severity 8
Why is Iran threatening regional airports, and what could be the impact?
Tehran hints retaliation as Georgia and Azerbaijan suspend Iranian flights amid mounting US sanctions on airlines.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%