Military··Severity 9
Burmese Refugees in Thailand Face Fresh Deportation Threat
A recently-passed law increases the risk that people fleeing repression will be deported and forcibly recruited into the military’s units of "one-way troops. "
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
77%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: The Diplomat
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%