Geopolitical··Severity 8
Emerging markets shrug off Iran war in record foreign borrowing spree
Fallout from conflict, rising interest rates and a strong dollar have not dented investor appetite for EM bonds
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%