Ты видишь риск, которого нет в портфеле.
А видишь ли ты мир, который живёт без тебя? 8 эр. 4900 лет. Одна планета.
Смотреть AGORA ?
← Scenarios catalogue
Economic··Severity 7

China’s industrial strengths must also benefit its trading partners

The European Commission is pressing China for progress by next month to address the widening EU-China trade imbalance, and raising the possibility of new protectionist trade policy.

The deadline raises a question: how should China and its trading partners address perceived economic imbalances while sharing the benefits of Chinese industrial competitiveness?

China’s merchandise trade surplus approached US$1.2 trillion last year even as other exporting economies press for controls.

“Overcapacity”...

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

44%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: South China Morning Post

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%