Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia could attack Nato country within months, Denmark warns
Intelligence service cites ‘low but growing risk’ of troop movement into neighbouring country or attack on infrastructure
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%