Military··Severity 8
Russian hybrid attacks likely to increase in coming months: Danish intel assessment
The nine-page document said that although the risk is low, the likelihood of Moscow launching a “limited military attack” is increasing against one or several NATO countries.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
71%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Breaking Defense
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%