Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran’s president brings receipts of US strikes on civilians to the UNGA
Iran’s president delivered his UN General Assembly address after US President Trump threatened to ‘annihilate’ Iran.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
60%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%