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Economic··Severity 7

Global bond sell-off piles new pressure on UK borrowing costs before budget

Rising cost of 10-year gilt to near 19-year high hikes upfront cost of government investment and limits chancellor’s room for manoeuvre Business live – latest updates International bodies warn of rising debt and borrowing risks Burnham stands by claim UK is ‘in hock’ to bond markets A global sell-off in government bonds has put fresh upward pressure on UK borrowing costs, before a tough budget for John Healey next month.

The yield – effectively the interest rate – on 10-year UK bonds, known as gilts, had risen to 5.38% by mid-morning on Thursday, approaching the 19-year high set last week.

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Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

43%

Сценарии event-driven intelligence:

Primary source: Guardian Tech

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%