Geopolitical··Severity 8
Pakistan launches air strikes in Afghanistan, killing civilians, Taliban says
Pakistan launched air strikes Thursday on 10 sites in Afghanistan in what Islamabad said was a retaliation for a drone attack by Afghanistan's Taliban forces on a border post.
A Taliban government spokesman denied the allegation and said Pakistan's latest strikes killed four civilians in Afghanistan's southern and eastern provinces.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
70%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%