Geopolitical··Severity 9
Israel carries out more attacks on southern Lebanon
Israel carries out more attacks on southern Lebanon Israel bombed three towns in southern Lebanon and shelled two nearby areas despite a ceasefire that has been in place for months, Lebanon’s state-run National News Agency reported.
In the past hour, Israeli strikes hit Sarbin, al-Mansouri and Qantara, while artillery fire struck Wadi al-Saloqi and Wadi Zibqin, the agency said.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
74%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Middle East Eye
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%