Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia attacks Ukraine with 295 drones: 267 downed
Russia attacked Ukraine with 295 strike and decoy drones from the evening of 24 September, with Ukraine's air defence destroying 267 and recording hits at 16 locations.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%