Economic··Severity 7
Iran war squeezes Iraq’s economy as oil revenues fall and prices rise
Disrupted oil exports, costlier imports, and a weaker dinar expose Iraq's economic dependence on oil, foreign goods.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
47%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%