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Geopolitical··Severity 9

Report: Trump rejects Iran's ceasefire proposal, may resume bombing after midterms

Report: Trump rejects Iran's ceasefire proposal, may resume bombing after midterms President Trump has rejected Iran’s proposal for a seven-day ceasefire and has told aides he expects to resume bombing Iran after the November midterms, The Wall Street Journal reported.

Citing officials, the newspaper reported that Trump is reluctant to resume major combat operations, while noting his views could change and that he could also end up being swayed by the midterm results.

Tehran’s proposal would have reopened the Strait of Hormuz and resumed nuclear talks in return for the US lifting its blockade of Iranian ports, which is causing deep damage to the country’s economy.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

69%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Middle East Eye

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%