Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia expected to intensify hybrid war on Europe
Drone explosions, airspace violations, arson attacks: Poland, Romania, and Moldova are now regularly targeted in Russian attacks against Ukraine. More governments are calling these attacks deliberate acts of aggression.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
71%Эскалация
Сценарии event-driven intelligence
Primary source: DW World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%