Military··Severity 9
European statements about war with Russia could become a "self-fulfilling prophecy" – Russian foreign minister
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov claims Europe's military build-up could lead to war with Russia and says any conflict resulting from a European attack would be "short".
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%