Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran no longer trusts talks with US amid ongoing strikes, sanctions — president
Mediators Qatar and Pakistan are conveying Iran’s messages to Washington, President of the Islamic Republic Masoud Pezeshkian noted
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
59%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%