Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia strikes Ukraine as Putin denies plans to attack Europe amid growing tensions
On Saturday, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha said Russia had also carried out a "double strike" attack on a logistics facility serving fast-food chain McDonald’s.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
66%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%