Geopolitical··Severity 8
Trump ‘rejects’ Iran’s seven-day ceasefire proposal. What’s next?
Analysts say Trump may opt to resume attacks on Iran after November midterm elections.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
56%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%