Geopolitical··Severity 9
At least 10 people killed in Russian and Ukrainian attacks
New strikes come as Russian FM accuses Europe of doing 'everything it can to thwart peace talks' with Ukraine.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
75%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%