Geopolitical··Severity 8
Trump tells aides strikes against Iran may resume after November midterms — WSJ
The US President is skeptical Iran would meet his demands and has told his staff that he sees a renewed bombing campaign as likely, the newspaper said
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%