Economic··Severity 7
Oil prices slide about 2% as US, Iran explore path out of war
Oil prices have dropped roughly 2%, influenced by signs of diplomatic advancement between the US and Iran concerning the Strait of Hormuz.
As negotiations unfold, the US is contemplating a ban on diesel exports, impacting crude oil futures.
Meanwhile, escalating assaults by Houthi fighters are hindering oil supply from Saudi Arabia, while ongoing Russia-Ukraine discussions may further shake global energy markets.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
45%Эскалация
Сценарии event-driven intelligence
Primary source: Economic Times
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%