Military··Severity 8
Ethiopia accuses Eritrea, Sudan of backing Tigray rebels amid clashes
Ethiopia’s army chief accused Eritrea and Sudan on Sunday of backing armed groups fighting federal troops, as clashes with Tigrayan rebels intensified.
The Tigray People’s Liberation Front said it was waging a “defensive war” and seized airports. A humanitarian source said rebels captured the Afar town of Erebti on Sunday.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
74%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%