Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russian strikes kill four in Ukraine
Meanwhile, Moscow and Kyiv continued to exchange strikes on Saturday, with Russian attacks killing at least four people across Ukraine.
As both sides intensify their aerial attacks, US President Donald Trump said he hoped Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin would reach an agreement and “settle” their differences. Morgan Ayre reports.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
61%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%