Geopolitical··Severity 8
Israeli strikes continue in southern Lebanon despite ceasefire
An Israeli Apache helicopter struck a commercial centre near Mayfadoun in Southern Lebanon.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
59%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%