Military··Severity 8
US withdrawal from Iraq ‘shameful’, Kurdish leader says
Iraqi Kurdistan’s prime minister tells FT that departure of American troops leaves them vulnerable to Iranian attack
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
68%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%