Geopolitical··Severity 9
Russian attacks kill eight in Ukraine after Moscow vows to continue war
Russian strikes killed eight people across Ukraine on Sunday, authorities said, a day after Moscow vowed to continue the war.
President Volodymyr Zelensky said Russia had launched about 3,900 drones, aerial bombs and missiles over the past week. Ukraine accused Moscow of deliberately targeting civilians as winter approaches.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%