Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran denies link to attack on airbase as UK minister warns of ‘proxies’
Tehran condemns 'unfounded and malicious speculation'; British FM vows to 'act against the proxies of Iran'.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%