Geopolitical··Severity 8
EU countries consider Nato-style joint responses to Russian hybrid attacks
Campaign this year has included drone attacks, bombs and arson, leading to calls for a stronger response
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%