Military··Severity 8
Tigray TV station hit by drone as rebels advance in north Ethiopia
Authorities in Ethiopia are accusing outside forces of backing armed groups fighting the country's troops in the north.
Since last week, heavy clashes have been reported between government forces and the Tigray people's liberation front. It's raised fears of a wider regional conflict erupting.
Delano D'Souza explains
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
72%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%