Military··Severity 9
Myanmar army air strike kills dozens in Rakhine state
Nearly half a million people are displaced in Rakhine as a result of the conflict between the military and rebel groups.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
77%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%