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Social··Severity 7

The Nations League is a welcome example of soccer done well

The tournament was treated with skepticism when it was introduced in 2018, but it shows that sometimes administrators get things right Sign up for our free newsletter here England’s first game after the 2022 World Cup was a 2-1 win away over Italy.

Their first game after the 2018 World Cup was a 2-1 defeat to Spain.

Their first game after the 2014 World Cup was a 1-0 friendly win over Norway – and that was not the Norway of Erling Haaland, Martin Ødegaard and Antonio Nusa but of Joshua King, Håvard Nordtveit and Tarik Elyounoussi.

The first game after the 2010 World Cup was a 2-1 friendly win over Hungary. The Italy and Spain games perhaps had their appeal, but the sense of anticlimax was palpable.

It’s inevitable, of course: how can a side or its supporters pick themselves to go again after the unparalleled drama of a World Cup?

Major tournaments, whether a team does well or badly, are sport played with maximum emotion; there cannot be anything except a comedown, whether after glorious victory, thrilling defeat or ignominious exit.

This is an extract from Soccer Desk, a newsletter from the Guardian US. Subscribe for free here. Continue reading...

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

37%

Сценарии event-driven intelligence:

Primary source: Guardian Sport

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%