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Economic··Severity 7

US stocks: US market drops as Trump’s rejection of Iran peace plan lifts oil prices

Following President Trump's dismissal of Iran's peace proposal, US market indexes experienced a downward trend, spurred by a notable surge in crude prices.

This escalation raised inflation worries, consequently leading to an uptick in Treasury yields and impacting economic outlooks.

Meanwhile, Nvidia's stock showed resilience, buoyed by an announcement of substantial share repurchases, albeit only slightly supporting broader market sentiments.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

46%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Economic Times

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%