Ты видишь риск, которого нет в портфеле.
А видишь ли ты мир, который живёт без тебя? 8 эр. 4900 лет. Одна планета.
Смотреть AGORA ?
← Scenarios catalogue
Natural··Severity 9

Ebola a 'terrifying disease' as DRC faces 'decades of conflict' and overburdened healthcare system

Eve Irvine is pleased to welcome Stephanie Hoffmann, Project Coordinator for Butembo, North Kivu, Doctors Without Borders.

The Ebola outbreak is hitting a region already ravaged by decades of armed conflict, insecurity, and an overwhelmed health system.

As the epidemic's epicenter shifts from Ituri to North Kivu, the disease is spreading and the transmission is accelerating.

In Butembo, a densely populated city of around 2 million, health workers themselves are being placed in an impossible position, often caring for their neighbors and relatives without adequate protective equipment.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

55%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: France24

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%