Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia attacks Ukraine with Zircon and Iskander missiles and 152 drones: air defence downs 109 aerial assets
Russian forces attacked Ukraine overnight with a Zircon/Oniks anti-ship missile, two Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles and 152 drones, with air defence interceptiong 109 aerial assets.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%