Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russian Embassy warns Moscow ready to use nuclear weapons to defend Kaliningrad
The irresponsible and shortsighted European political elite is playing a dangerous game, the Russian Embassy in Ireland said
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%