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Natural··Severity 9

Polo makes landfall in Mexico as Category 3 hurricane, cutting power and causing floods

This year's Pacific hurricane season is shaping up as more severe than usual, as a Super El Niño, an extreme version of a recurring weather pattern, wreaks devastation, in the form of historic droughts and flooding.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

52%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Euronews

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%