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Economic··Severity 7

Bank of Canada Deputy Sees ‘Dilemma’ on Trade War, Energy Shock

A senior Bank of Canada official said the central bank’s rate-setting body is in a “dilemma” and having spirited discussions about how to balance the impact of the trade war against the inflation effects of high energy prices.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

43%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%